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November 23rd, 2008 at 9:02 am

Holiday week.

With Thanksgiving this week, we should expect a little different dynamics in market behaviour. Historically, it is a relatively slow week, comparing to days preceding it. I still expect Monday and Tuesday to be rather active, but later on most financial markets should quiet down. This includes Forex. Now, that would be “typical” Thanksgiving week. As we know, last few months have been anything but typical and this could include next few days. Personally I think that most traders and decision makers are really tired of this constant uncertainty and will use Thanksgiving as an excuse to cut the week short and just get away from it all.
There still could be couple of trading days with good opportunities. Just like I did last few weeks, I’ll look for opening gaps. If I find any promising ones, I’ll try to document any trades resulting from them, for a discussion on these pages later.
Japanese Yen close sharply lower on Friday. By that I mean JPY got weaker and the crosses moved higher. Most of the time when this happens(not always) this tends to continue for a few hours after the Sunday open. I’m going to see if this tendency is manifested today. For that I’ll use CAD-JPY.
cad-jpy-11-23-edted.jpg
Two prong scenario here. Breakout above 76.50 makes it a buy with an objective of 78.20-30, or 170-180 pips. There is a confluence of resistance factors just under 76.50. If it holds, my plan is to buy CAD-JPY if the price falls to just above most recent low of about 73.25. This translates to entry in the 73.50-70 area.
GBP-JPY also looks good as a buy, but I will take only short term buy trades there, as I normally do. So, trading plan is laid out, now the market has to open.

Mike K.

EminiForecaster.com

4
  • 1

    Is this trade still valid? So far it has been very slow and maybe you changed your mind.

    B.J on November 23rd, 2008
  • 2

    Looks like holiday came in early this year. For now trade is valid.

    admin on November 23rd, 2008
  • 3

    Do you ever trade exotics. I might be interested in your opinions on some of them.

    Casey on November 23rd, 2008
  • 4

    Not really. The most exotic I get is an occasional trade in scandinavian currencies and maybe PLN. Anything else are not really tradeable outside of daily charts. Spreads are too high, liquidity is low and dead periods during the day. There are enough crosses of the majors available to keep me busy.

    admin on November 23rd, 2008

 

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