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November 30th, 2008 at 9:27 am

FED has a fan.

Here is a nugget of information I stumbled upon recently. Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe commended both FED and UK financial authority for following the lead which they, Bank of Zimbabwe, established couple of years ago. What follows is a part of the news release:

“Here in Zimbabwe we had our near-bank failures a few years ago and we responded by providing the affected Banks with the Troubled Bank Fund (TBF) for which we were heavily criticized even by some multi-lateral institutions who today are silent when the Central Banks of UK and USA are going the same way and doing the same thing under very similar circumstances thereby continuing the unfortunate hypocrisy that what’s good for goose is not good for the gander….
As Monetary Authorities, we commend those of our peers, the world over, who have now seen the light on the need for the adoption of flexible and practical interventions and support to key sectors of the economy when faced with unusual circumstances.”

Well, Bernanke&Co can sleep easy now, scoring this high praise. Perhaps we should pay more attention to what Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe is doing in the future? It is not my intention to belittle Zimbabwe, but find this report a little humorous.
Euro got much weaker on Friday and it’s possible this trend will continue. I’m going to try trades on a short side in EUR-CAD.
eur-cad.jpg
This set up includes 2 sell orders. If the price moves up I plan to sell it at 1.5850, with an objective of 1.5680. Should the price keep falling, there is a sell order at 1.5645. This trade would seek about 100 pips gain.
I’ve been covering GBP-JPY a lot here and today is no exception. First a look at 4H, where we had an interesting development. For the first time in a long stretch, price on this time frame moved above previous high – points A and B on the chart.
 gbp-jpy4hedited.jpg
This in itself doesn’t guarantee reversal here, but it would be the first step in establishing price turn around. Currently there is a sideways movement. For somebody with bullish outlook break above 148.70 might be good entry point for this magnitude of a move, as the chart indicates potential rise to as high as 158. I’m not going to take this trade, because price can easily slip back to the black circled area, and remain there for days or even weeks. I think that 1H chart presents better opportunity.
gbp-jpy1h.jpg
Entry here is still the same at 148.70, but objective would be much smaller at 152.00. More importantly, here I can have decent stop for the trade. Currently price is still some ways from the entry and so precise S/L point can not be chose yet. For that I must wait for farther price development. However, with 300 pips objective, I’m confident good spot for stop can found in 100-150 pip are below entry.
As always on Sundays, I’ll we be looking for opening gaps. If I find attractive situation in GBP-JPY I might forgo this trade and play with the gap. Another thing, should I take this trade it will be on another trading platform. Here I trade only very short beast swing and don’t want to confuse myself placing trades using multiple time frames in the same account. Just trying to keep it simple.

Mike K.

4
  • 1

    I traded stocks before for a while for most part trying to use charts, technical analysis. I’m still not very good but learning. Are there big differences in analyzing charts of currencies and stocks? Can I use the same indicators?

    Renata on November 30th, 2008
  • 2

    There is not much going on right now. Are you looking for other trades during time like this. I myself get a little restless and try to find something to trade, though I know I should be patient and simply wait.

    Michelle on November 30th, 2008
  • 3

    Renata, you can use the same indicators and charting applications. One of the exceptions is the volume analysis. Since Forex does not have a centralized exchange, you will not able to get volume data and if you manage to find some, it will be very fragmented and largely incorrect. So things like OBV(On Balance Volume) and anything other using volume are useless. Other than that, you can use just about anything you are familiar with,

    admin on November 30th, 2008
  • 4

    Michelle, there might not be much going on in the pairs I went over above, but AUD and NZD are moving, so one can find some trades. I’m always on a lookout for good set ups. Frankly, I will not get very busy untill probably 23:00 PST, and it will stay that way for 10-11 hours. I have a fund to trade, my own accounts and all kinds of other things to do. That’s why I update this blog either around noon or early evening my time.

    admin on November 30th, 2008

 

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