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December 30th, 2008 at 11:41 am

Worst ever.

Japanese stock market closed its last trading session of the year.  For NIKKEI average it was the worst ever year, with a loss of 42.1%. It may seem strange, considering that Japan didn’t have the same kind of credit problems as other countries. They had own real estate bubble back in 1989-1990, but even then stock market didn’t suffer this kind of collapse. Strange, but it goes to show just how interconnected markets are. Problems spill from one country to another, with, seemingly nothing to stop them.
While the equities in Japan had the worst ever year, Yen enjoyed a huge rally, much to the detriment of crowds of traders caught on a wrong side of the carry trade. Interesting correlation.
Two posts ago, in Opportunities, I touched up on EUR-GBP trade. I used 4H charts, with an entry at the end of a bearish candle.
eur-gbp-12-30.jpg
The candle I waited for was completed right after I finished writing yesterday’s post. I went short at 0.9737 and 100 pips objective. Target was reached fast, for a nice gain. After that I was looking for reversal on 1H charts, but it didn’t happen. Instead, price made new high. Right now I’m planning another if the price dips under the low of about 0.9620 for 4H charts. If current candle will turn out to be bearish enough I might short it at the market again, with similar target.
After big moves on Monday, things are already slowing down before New Year. While I don’t expect much and want to be done before this time tomorrow, I’m placing few new orders.
usd-chf-12-30.jpg
One of them is a buy in USD-CHF at 1.0640, with 100 pips objective. Other Swissy crosses look similar, like AUD-CHF.
I’ll try to post something tomorrow and then take a day off to meet New Year.

Mike K.

EminiForecaster.com

6
  • 1

    I’ll be traveling for a couple of days and unable to read your blog. Just want to wish you Happy New Year!

    Michelle on December 30th, 2008
  • 2

    Thank you very much and same to you!

    admin on December 30th, 2008
  • 3

    I see you started working EUR-GBP again and took some pips. I can’t wait for this pair to turn at last. Hopefuly soon. What do you think?

    Andy on December 30th, 2008
  • 4

    Markets will turn when they want to not when I think they will. But I work this pair with top in mind, so only short positions for now.

    admin on December 30th, 2008
  • 5

    When you talk about other CHF pairs, did you also have GBP-CHF in mind? My broker doesn’t have crosses like AUD-CHF or CAD-CHF. Do you think that GBP-CHF will also be a good buy on the breakout?

    Renata on December 31st, 2008
  • 6

    Yes, Renata, GBP-CHF also. But the best looking ones were what I mentioned.

    admin on December 31st, 2008

 

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