No update yesterday, things piled up. Interestingly enough, last post generated lively comments. Perhaps I should write about nonsense more often, people seem to like it. This posts title comprises of two seemingly unrelated events, but for me there was a connection- they happened on the same day. Master scamer, Bernie Madoff, pleaded guilty to fraud and plethora of other charges. He claims to be “sorry and ashamed”. Well, he probably is but not because something illegal was done, but simply because he was caught. Person can commit a crime once and be sorry about it. If something is done over and over again, spanning years and decades, saying sorry is a lie. I don’t buy it at all. This is it, said my peace about Madoff.
True news of the day was intervention of Swiss National Bank. To be precise, perceived intervention, because we don’t know for sure, but all signs point to direct SNB involvement, after officials said CB was set to make purchases in the foreign exchange market to halt the currency’s rise. Following market action had marks of intervention- extreme price run up within minutes, with some follow up. SNB stated all kinds of reasons for a desire to weaken the Franc. What is important here, that this action is setting a precedent which might be followed by other central banks, namely Bank of Japan. This remains to be seen.
I have been increasingly focusing on CHF pairs, waiting for Franc’s weakness. Didn’t know that SNB was going to step in, but charts were indicating reversals. In Economy fell of a cliff a buy in EUR-CHF was covered. This trade was, unfortunately, closed yesterday, before today’s price explosion.

This snap shot was taken yesterday, after the trade had been closed for 79 pips gain. I also had a trade in GBP-CHF, as explained in Commodities are moving. This is also a trade from yesterday.

Breakout buy order at 1.6060 was not triggered, but the range play was and it produced over 130 pips. This chart is also from yesterday with 1.6060 buy still valid. Price remained largely in range and earlier today breakout order was taken out and price fell dramatically.

Did the same thing- bought again at 1.5890 for a range play. This second trade had very little risk, about 60 pips. Lows held and trend reversed. Trade 2 hit target at 1.6040 for 150 pips and the original trade from 1.6060 rode the wave for 200 pips. This main part of the move happened in 5-6 minutes. Great sequence, wish they happened more often. Didn’t even suffer slippage, probably beacuase it would be in my favor.
Also yesterday, AUD-JPY trade, from earlier in the week, was closed for minor gains.

Managed to escape with my skin intact…. These sudden moves in CHF distorted charts to the point that I’d like to see things settle down before getting into more trades. Yen also reversed today, following CHF, and it is probably better to wait here as well. I will be looking at EUR-GBP with a potential sell at 0.9200 for 100 pips. No room here for any more charts. There are still other topics from earlier that need more coverage and that’s what I’ll likely do in the next post. Again, will BOJ intervene next?
This blog goes where few traders dare – the exciting world of Forex outside the dollar!
fxmadness.com
March 12th, 2009 at 9:56 am
Madoff’s plea and Swiss intervention.
9
<
Forex
Are you a CEO and own
a business? Make sure you
get yourself a Direct Line
for Business insurance quote.
Citi IPB, a subsidiary of the Citi Group offers unrivalled Offshore Banking services to customers across the globe. Including financial planning and access to deposits internationally.
a business? Make sure you
get yourself a Direct Line
for Business insurance quote.
Recent Posts
- Will Chinese PMI Boost or Sink the Aussie?
- Update on Earlier Forex Trades.
- Spain in the Hot Seat.
- Trading London Opening.
- PMI Numbers Suggest Hard Landing for China.
- Beast Could be Ready for Correction.
- Rough Day for Commodity Currencies.
- Quick Look at AUD-CAD.
- Possible Cup with Handle in EUR-AUD.
- New Pressure on SNB.
- Currencies Volatile Before FED.
- Focus Shifts to Easing.
- The Euro – Where to Now?
- Effect of Time on Trading Decisions.
- EUR-CAD Likely to Consolidate.
Categories
Archives
- April 2012
- March 2012
- February 2012
- January 2012
- December 2011
- November 2011
- October 2011
- September 2011
- August 2011
- July 2011
- June 2011
- May 2011
- April 2011
- March 2011
- February 2011
- January 2011
- December 2010
- November 2010
- October 2010
- September 2010
- August 2010
- July 2010
- June 2010
- May 2010
- April 2010
- March 2010
- February 2010
- January 2010
- December 2009
- November 2009
- October 2009
- September 2009
- August 2009
- July 2009
- June 2009
- May 2009
- April 2009
- March 2009
- February 2009
- January 2009
- December 2008
- November 2008
- October 2008
- September 2008
- August 2008
- July 2008
Blogroll
- Best Stocks To Buy – Indian Stocks News
- Canadian on Wall Street
- Daily GBP-JPY Analysis.
- Day Trading
- Earn Forex
- Forex and Life.
- Forex Blog
- Forex Broker Reviews
- Forex Chart Analysis and a Cat
- Forex Intraday Trading
- Forex Trading
- Forex Trading Zone
- ForexNewsNow.com
- FOREXPROS
- Free Money Finance
- Gav’s Trading Blog.
- Grinder Trader
- InnerFX
- Jules In Jumbles
- Market Club Trader’s Blog
- Pipburner
- The Black Bottle’s Forex
- The Denarii Trader
- The Forexkid.
- The Lonely Trader
- The Smart Money Tracker
- Trading Goddess
- VenEspeculador – for Spanish readers.
- Wall Street Sector Selector
- Winners Edge Trading
- YMYWDIRECT
- Zstock7



I was shocked by chf move today, totally unprepared. At least didn’t loose any money. How come you don’t think it is good idea to go long here? Even if long term view is up?
Even if the longer term outlook is bullish these pairs, one should probably wait untill there is a buy signal by whatever strategy one employs. Reacting to it now would be emotional trading and not good precedent for the future.
This is very good trading. Do you think Swiss bank is done ot will they keep selling the franc?
It depends on what it is they want to accomplish. This might have been a “warning” that SNB doesn’t want Franc any stronger or beginning of dedicated long term action. I’ll try to cover it in next post.
For all the talk about untervention, I don’t think I’ve ever seen one live. Even this one, wasn’t watching the screen. But at least now can look at short term charts and see what characteristics this development has.
I don’t think intervention by BoJ is likely. Timing would be strange, Yen is well of its highs. The same was true was chf, so I don’t understand Swiss motives.
Doesn’t look that intervention if JPY is needed. I was really puzzled last few days, why was it getting so much stronger? All the news from Japan were bad. Now it is falling under its own weight.
[...] swing in Swiss Franc, attributed to an intervention. Interestingly enough, it is said to be not Swiss National Bank stepping in, but Bank for International Settlements acting on behalf of SNB. Most people find something like [...]
[...] Swiss National Bank sold the Franc on open market. Among reasons stated at the time were sharp deterioration in Switzerland’s economy, unacceptable appreciation of CHF and to combat threat of deflation. Of most interest to currency traders was the part about the Franc- SNB singled out EUR-CHF as being at level harmful. [...]