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January 18th, 2010 at 10:04 am

I hate hackers.

Love internet, no question about it. But sometimes it can be so frustrating when things go wrong and there is very little one can do about. Last night, for example, my other website, www.spectrumforex.com was hacked. I’m not even going to say by whom, because why spread their cause any more? They certainly haven’t gained new supporters today. Turns out servers of hosting company were compromised, not so much the site itself. After bunch of phone calls and what seems like eternal waiting time, services were restored. Not real damage was done, but what if it was trading platform, with a lot live trades at the time? Some brokers were attacked in the past and likely will be again in the future. FX Madness is hosted elsewhere and was not effected.

Now that this problem is fixed, trading takes front stage again. Last post, New rules, covered many currency pairs. They were discussed looking at intermediate term, 4H charts. With every single bar/candle taking 4 hours to create, any move sought using this time frame takes some fairly long to develop. This always has be taken into account when planning a trade, having at least rough estimate about expectations for the length of holding time. I was looking for additional price development before actual order is placed using AUD-JPY. Wanted to see one more support point established in the at around 83.25-83.30. Markets obliged this time.

aud-jpy-01-18.jpg

Opening had a gap, too small to try take advantage of. Market quickly reversed, creating what I wanted to see. Now a firm order is placed to sell at 83.19, with a target of 81.00. No guarantee that this will happen, but the more reactions price has at any one support/resistance level the more important it becomes. It also indicates that market “wants to” test this zone. If a breakout through just such level happens, it has higher probability of being fast and strong. I will  return to this chart in next update and have some more observations.

nzd-jpy-15m-01-18.jpg

The other Yen pair mentioned yesterday was NZD-JPY. It opened with a gap, which was wide enough to try to trade it. Unfortunately, price reversed immediately, so there was entry point of any kind to get in on. I don’t simply buy or sell at the open, hoping for filling the gap. Must see some price action first. But in this situation fading the gap made sense and that’s what I did. With entry at 66.84, trade produced 24 pips, after which new low was made. Just like with AUD-JPY, this becomes new sell order at 66.45 for trade using 4H charts.

gbp-chf-01-18-15m.jpg

Pound-Swissy also developed decent gap and here I decided to “work it”. This is a snap shot from the time of trade. Expectations were for about 60 pips.  Price started to drop right right away and things looked good for a while, but it wasn’t to be. 100 SMA provided support, pair rebounded. Later on another run on the lows took place, but once again price stalled at the same level. I got out with 32 pips.

gbp-chf-01-16-2.jpg

It is late in the trading day and I don’t carry gap positions past this time. If it is not closed by now, no way of telling when it will happen. Longer term chart of GBP-CHF will get more attention in coming posts.

eur-cad-01-18-1.jpg

To round up last update, few thoughts about EUR-CAD. Very little movement happened today, with price drifting lower. I have a firm buy order at 1.4815, above the minor high. At the same time I’m looking for candlestick reversal on this chart, below current order. Risks would be small, 50-60 pips, with the same objective of 1.4950. Need to see 2-4 more candles, though, meaning 8-16hours. Plenty of time.

Mike K.

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10
  • 1

    Was it Network Solutions that you host with? They were hacked with some kind of middle east militant message and pictures.

    Michelle on January 18th, 2010
  • 2

    Yes Michelle, Net Sol. How do you know?

    admin on January 18th, 2010
  • 3

    One of the companies we deal with, their website was effected. Very large one at that. A lot of confused and angry people. It got restored in about 10 hours.

    Michelle on January 18th, 2010
  • 4

    Are they the vultures you can’t stand?

    admin on January 18th, 2010
  • 5

    Had to think about it for a while. Can;t believe you still remmeber that! No these are nice people, like me.

    Michelle on January 18th, 2010
  • 6

    Trading is going good for you? You were very optimistic in last email.

    admin on January 18th, 2010
  • 7

    So far so good this year. Only one losing trade. Mostly thanks to you.

    Michelle on January 18th, 2010
  • 8

    Congrats! Sounds really good!

    admin on January 18th, 2010
  • 9

    [...] Euro-Canadian Dollar has been under consideration for a few days. Earlier I used 4H chart, now I’m zooming hourly. Since my last notes price made new low and it appears to be reversing now. Recent price build up changed the look of a chart, so I have to adjust my intended buy. Distance from the low to the my entry become to big to simply buy it there. [...]

    CFTC proposal. | fxmadness.com on January 21st, 2010
  • 10

    [...] Yen trades became more important and they were the best trades of the week. I have been tracking JPY against the commodity currencies, looking for break in their advance. It took some time, but the move eventually came and all of [...]

    Good week. | fxmadness.com on January 23rd, 2010

 

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